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Matrixport’s Bitcoin ETF Rejection Prediction Sparks Controversy and Market Reaction

Matrixport, a prominent player in the cryptocurrency sphere, found itself amidst a storm of controversy following the release of a report predicting the rejection of spot Bitcoin ETF applications by the SEC. Co-founder Jihan Wu took to social media to address concerns and clarify the situation, emphasizing the independence of Matrixport’s analysts.

Wu’s statement sought to distance the management from the report’s content, highlighting the analysts’ autonomy and superior analytical skills. He maintained that neither he nor the management exerted any influence or interference in the creation of the report.

The report, titled “Matrixport Analysis: SEC to Reject ETF Applications in January with Final Approval Pushed to Q2 2024,” triggered a significant 7% drop in Bitcoin’s price within hours of its release. This decline, from above $45,000 to below $42,100, raised questions about the report’s credibility and potential market manipulation.

Critics, including Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, pressed Markus Thielen, the report’s author, for the source behind the prediction. Thielen responded, denying reliance on insider comments from either the issuer or the SEC. Despite deviating from the consensus, Thielen stood by his forecast, citing prepared arguments and a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment based on his analysis.

The report, while projecting a rejection of Bitcoin ETF applications in the immediate term, maintained an optimistic view for Bitcoin’s future in 2024. It referenced historical patterns, the upcoming Bitcoin halving, and macroeconomic conditions to support its bullish long-term stance.

Wu’s assertion that the report was intended for Matrixport’s clients and not for wider circulation underscores the unintended consequences of its wide dissemination by the media. He reminded stakeholders of Matrixport’s consistent advice to clients regarding risk management and vigilance amid market volatility.

The controversy surrounding Matrixport’s report serves as a reminder of the sensitivity and influence of such analyses within the crypto sphere. Despite the immediate market reaction, the broader outlook for Bitcoin’s trajectory remains a subject of debate, with varying opinions regarding regulatory impacts and long-term prospects.

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