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December Rally Fatigue: Is Bitcoin’s Bull Run Losing Steam?

In the volatile realm of cryptocurrency markets, the recent surge in Bitcoin’s value has been nothing short of astonishing. However, signs are emerging that this relentless rally might be running out of steam.

Analysts and traders have been closely monitoring indicators related to demand and transaction activity within the crypto space. During October’s rally, metrics such as trading volume, On-Balance Volume (OBV), Active Addresses, and Transaction Counts witnessed a substantial uptick. These metrics typically serve as barometers for gauging the fervor of demand and the intensity of transactions on the blockchain network.

Source: CryptoQuant

However, a shift in these indicators has become evident since mid-November. Despite Bitcoin reaching a year-to-date high at $44.7k, the metrics tracking network activity have plateaued, mirroring the levels observed in November. This stalling of network activity amidst price highs suggests a potential scenario for a short-term correction in the market.

Market watchers and investors are now considering the possibility of a retracement in Bitcoin’s value owing to this stagnation in supply and demand dynamics. The sideways movement observed since mid-November hints at a looming corrective phase. Of particular interest is the observation that $38k, constituting 61.8% of the monthly price range, aligns closely with the high point witnessed in November. This convergence implies a critical level to monitor, potentially serving as a support level should a correction unfold.

Experts caution that in the realm of cryptocurrency, where volatility reigns supreme, no upward trajectory is permanent. The recent fatigue seen in demand and transaction metrics might signal a natural pause in Bitcoin’s upward momentum, offering the digital asset a chance to catch its breath before potentially resuming its ascent.

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