Bitcoin Struggles Against 2021-2022 Bear Market Base: A Technical Analysis

In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, the pioneer of digital currencies, continues to be a subject of intense scrutiny for both investors and analysts. Recent data from CryptoQuant suggests that Bitcoin is still grappling with the remnants of the 2021-2022 bear market, with resistance levels proving to be a formidable challenge. In this article, we delve into the details of this ongoing battle and its implications for the cryptocurrency market.

A Stubborn Resistance Zone

Bitcoin, which experienced a historic bull run in late 2020 and early 2021, encountered a significant correction thereafter. According to CryptoQuant, the lingering ghost of the 2021-2022 bear market has established a base with resistance levels ranging from $29,808 to $35,078. Historically, resistance from a bear market base has represented the ultimate barrier for Bitcoin to overcome during bull runs, from a technical analysis perspective.

The presence of this resistance zone, extending for several months, has created a sense of uncertainty among traders and investors. It suggests that the road to a sustained bullish trend may not be as straightforward as some had hoped. The ability of Bitcoin to breach and maintain levels above this range will likely be closely monitored by market participants.

Source: CryptoQuant

Profitable Supply: A Key Indicator

Adding another layer of complexity to this situation is the analysis of Bitcoin’s profitable supply. The data reveals that the profitable supply of Bitcoin, calculated as a percentage, currently falls within the range of 65.95% to 76.31%. This data echoes the aforementioned resistance levels and serves to reinforce the notion that Bitcoin’s path to recovery is obstructed by formidable obstacles.

A striking observation is that the profitable supply from January 2023 to the present exhibits similarities to past periods in Bitcoin’s history, particularly those of January to May 2012 and October 2015 to May 2016. These periods were marked by fluctuations and contradictory price actions. The parallels raise questions about the current state of Bitcoin’s market dynamics, leaving many to wonder whether the cryptocurrency is in a phase of re-accumulation.

Uncertainty and the Road Ahead

In light of these technical indicators, Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain. The interplay between the lingering bear market base resistance and the profitable supply percentages creates a challenging environment for traders and investors. The market is at a crossroads, with the possibility of a breakthrough or a period of re-accumulation.

For traders, this uncertainty may translate into cautious decision-making and a reliance on short-term strategies until clearer signals emerge. On the other hand, long-term investors may find themselves weighing the risks and rewards of holding onto their Bitcoin holdings amidst the ongoing resistance.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s journey through the remnants of the 2021-2022 bear market base continues to be a focal point in the cryptocurrency world. The technical analysis presented by CryptoQuant highlights the significance of this resistance zone and its correlation with profitable supply percentages. Until Bitcoin successfully breaches the 65.95% to 76.31% resistance range, the cryptocurrency market is likely to witness contradictory and uncertain price movements. Whether this represents the final obstacle before a new bull run or a phase of re-accumulation remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: Bitcoin’s battle with its past is far from over, and the world is watching closely.

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