Bitcoin Showing Bearish Signs as Dow futures fall 200 points

The price of Bitcoin dropped by roughly 3% today on news that 50 BTC mined in early 2009 were moved unexpectedly. This led to speculation that Satoshi Nakamoto—the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin—had moved part of his dormant crypto stash. That speculation, though, seems to be mostly unfounded based on available evidence.

BTC chart 7 days | Source: Coinmarketcap

While Bitcoin dipped to $9,500, competitors like Ethereum also dropped slightly. ETH is currently trading for about $210—a 1.8% fall from the $214 it was enjoying earlier today.

Stocks, on the other hand,  as the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 207 points, implying an opening loss of about 193 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures also pointed to weakness at Thursday’s open.

The overnight moves came on the back of sharp rallies in the major stock indexes so far this week.

The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 both extended week-to-date gains during Wednesday’s regular trading session and finished the day up 2% and 1.6% respectively. The broad S&P 500 closed at its highest level since March 6 on Wednesday afternoon.

The Dow industrials, meanwhile, finished Wednesday’s trading up 369 points, or 1.5%, as Apple, Disney and McDonald’s all added at least 30 points to the blue-chip index amid a surge in reopening optimism.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow are up 3.7%, 4% and 3.7% since Monday. The S&P 500 and Dow are both on track for their best weeks since the week ended April 8.

The moves follow a trend among all 50 US states to begin reopening their economies by varying degrees. While rules differ from state to state, it’s a promising sign of rebounding economic activity, which has been saddled by the coronavirus pandemic. Colleges and universities across the country are also beginning to weigh the possibility of holding fall classes.

That trend may have something to do with the potential for a COVID-19 vaccine to hit the market sooner than anticipated. US immunotherapy company Inovio Pharmaceuticals, much like competitor Moderna Therapeutics, is experimenting with a coronavirus vaccine and says its formula has produced antibodies in both mice and guinea pigs.

The company also began human trials in April, though these results likely won’t be available until June. Inovio now says it’s looking to test the vaccine on larger animals, such as monkeys and rabbits.

BTC showing bearish signs

Bitcoin price started a bearish wave after it failed to continue above the $9,950 and $10,000 resistance levels against the US Dollar. BTC price is down more than 3% from the weekly high and it broke the $9,540 support zone.

The recent decline was such that the price even broke the $9,400 level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average. More importantly, there was a break below a major contracting triangle with support near $9,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

A low is formed near $9,308 and bitcoin price is currently correcting higher. It tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,843 high to $9,309 low.

It seems like the previous supports near $9,540 and $9,600 are now acting as hurdles. The first major hurdles is near the $9,640 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,843 high to $9,309 low is also at $9,639.

To avoid more losses, BTC price must move back above the $9,540 and $9,640 resistance levels. The next key hurdles on the upside remain $9,950 and $10,000.

If bitcoin fails to recover above the $9,540 and $9,640 resistance levels, there are chances of more losses in the near term. An immediate support is near the $9,400 level.

The main support is near the $9,250 zone (the last key pivot zone). If the bulls fail to defend the $9,250 support level, the price could continue to move down towards the $9,120 and $9,000 levels in the near term.

Major Support Levels – $9,400 followed by $9,250.

Major Resistance Levels – $9,640, $9,800 and $9,950.

Disclaimer: This is not trading advice. Investors should research carefully before making a decision. We are not responsible for your investment decisions.

Bitcoin Live Chart

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